Archive for the ‘Bank Profits’ Category

CBA follows NAB lead

Thursday, May 3rd, 2012

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has cut its standard variable rate and thrown down the gauntlet to ANZ and Westpac. This morning, CBA announced it would cut 40 basis points from its standard variable rate, taking it to 7.01 per cent – 0.02 per cent higher than National Australia Bank.

Yesterday, NAB announced it would cut 32 basis points from its borrowing rates, taking its standard variable rate to 6.99 per cent. CBA’s rate decision now puts pressure on Westpac and ANZ. It is very unlikely that any lender would look to pass on the rate cut in full to their borrowers. I expected all of the lenders to withhold 10 to 15 basis points of the 0.5 per cent rate cut.

It is just a sign of the market at the moment. It looks like Australia’s second tier lenders will withhold even more. Last night, ING DIRECT announced it would decrease the interest on its variable rate mortgages by 0.3 per cent.

Majors hold fire on interest rate cut

Wednesday, May 2nd, 2012

Australia’s major banks are unlikely to pass on the full 50 basis point rate cut to borrowers. Yesterday, the Reserve Bank cut the cash rate by 50 basis points to 3.75 per cent the biggest drop since the peak of the Global Financial Crisis and the lowest level since December 2009.

Within hours of yesterday’s announcement The Bank of Queensland confirmed that it would pass on 35 basis points of the rate cut to its borrowers.However, at close of business yesterday, all of the majors were yet to make announcements around their mortgage rates.

 
I expect the big banks to follow the lead of BoQ and hold back some of the rate reduction. This is a very big move from the Reserve Bank and it will help thousands of households, with people on a $300,000 mortgage potentially saving around $1,000 per year.

But it’s unlikely that all lenders will pass on the full 50 basis point rate cut. The signals from the big four banks suggest that they will try to hold on to part of this rate cut,  remember that of the 50 basis point cash rate reduction from the RBA since November, the big four banks have only passed on around 40 basis points to variable rate home loan customers.

Banks to move regardless of RBA

Tuesday, March 6th, 2012

Regardless of what the Reserve Bank does when the Board meets later today, Australia’s banks could lift their rates for the second consecutive month. Lenders are saying the costs of funds have risen by approximately 100 basis points in the past few months, which is having a huge impact.

On average, banks source approximately 30 per cent of their funds from markets that have seen costs of funds rise by 100 basis points at least. That is reason why we have seen out of cycle rate hikes and I wouldn’t be surprised to see more still as the banks look to pass on the higher costs of funds despite there huge profits.

ANZ was the first lender to move out of cycle last month, lifting the interest on its standard variable rate by 6 basis points. All of the three remaining majors then followed suit, with Westpac and CBA both lifting their standard variable rates by 10 basis points, while NAB increased its SVR by 9 basis points.

ANZ’s monthly rate meeting is set to take place again this Friday, with many industry watchers now predicting the lender will look to lift rates for the second consecutive month. If this comes to pass, it will be interesting to see whether or not the other lenders follow suit given they lifted their rates by more than ANZ last month.

Interest Rates to Fall

Friday, February 24th, 2012

I believe the RBA now looks set to stay on hold for a few months.  I think there are another two rate cuts still to come but May and July now look to be the most likely timing.  Will the consumer see these rate cuts in full? I very much doubt it as the big four hold the market share they will dictate the terms to suit their shareholders.

ANZ Ignore RBA & Increase Rate

Friday, February 10th, 2012

ANZ today announced it will increase interest rates for variable rate mortgages and small business lending by 0.06%pa.

This is the first time the bank has moved to increase its rates independently of the RBA’s cash rate since it announced its split with the central bank’s pricing in December last year.

According to a statement from the bank, the decision follows ANZ’s monthly interest rate review which considered:

  • the intense pressure on retail and business margins in recent months being sustained following:
  • increased competition among banks for consumer and business deposits that has provided higher relative returns to ANZ’s 2.9 million deposit customers;
  • higher costs paid by ANZ for $8 billion in long-term wholesale funding raised since October 2011 as a result of the economic and financial crisis in Europe which has made money more expensive for all banks to borrow.
  • the stable monetary policy setting announced this week by the Reserve Bank of Australia following successive reductions in the cash rate in late 2011.
  • the competitive environment, the impact of higher rates on customers and on loan growth, and also the need to act in a considered way with growing pockets of weakness in the Australian economy.

Effective 17 February 2012, ANZ’s new standard variable mortgage rate will be 7.36%pa (7.46%pa comparison rate). New small business rates are effective from 17 February.

ANZ will also cut its three year fixed rate mortgage by 0.15% to 5.99%pa as part of its Breakfree banking package.

ANZ say this month they faced a serious dilemma in their review, balancing the rising cost of bank funding including deposit customers’ interests in receiving highly competitive rates, and the expectation of borrowers that we keep lending rates as low as possible.

In December and January the bank says it absorbed the additional funding costs in the hope that funding pressures would ease and that no change in lending rates would be necessary.

ANZ are still beating the drum that  margins in retail and business banking have now been squeezed for a number of months and they have taken the difficult decision to pass on part of the higher costs to customers.

The new monthly interest rate review process recognises that the Reserve Bank’s cash rate alone is not an accurate reflection of bank funding costs, particularly since the global financial crisis which has left all banks with the task of raising funds in volatile global markets and through stronger competition for deposits.

This change comes with a duty to explain to customers what drives the decisions and provide greater transparency about funding costs.

ANZ want to assure customers that they are committed to providing competitive products and we hope there will be an opportunity to lower rates in the coming months as greater confidence returns to global funding markets.

There has been much debate on banks in recent days,  ANZ will no doubt leave some customers frustrated and even angry.

Why they couldn’t just reduce the massive discounts on offer is a mystery. Clearly the profit is higher using this method. if you are a borrower it is a sad day if you are a shareholder things are looking up.

Banks likely to withhold rate cut

Wednesday, February 1st, 2012

While industry stakeholders remain at odds over whether or not the Reserve Bank of Australia will drop the cash rate when the Board meets next week, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that Australia’s banks will pass on any rate cut in full.

The banks have gone to great lengths to forewarn borrowers and brokers that any rate cuts delivered by the RBA may be withheld.

At the end of last year, ANZ  said the bank’s funding costs were now largely unrelated to movements in the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate.

As a result, the lender decided to align its mortgage rates more closely with its funding costs and review its rates on the second Friday of each month – independently of the RBA.

Less than one week later, Westpac said that the lender had decided to follow ANZ’s suit and review its mortgage rates independently of the Reserve Bank.

We are probably going to see the RBA drop the rates. But, the big question will be whether or not the banks pass on the rate cut in full and I don’t think they will.

All borrowers would really benefit from another 25 basis point rate cut, but I do not think we will see the rate cut passed on in full.

If the banks withhold some or all of the rate cut, it would really hurt the level of housing activity.

Given the weak housing numbers we saw this month, I think there is a good chance we will see another rate cut in February. But, will it be passed on? I don’t necessarily think that will be the case, which will ultimately limit the amount of people coming back into the housing market.

ANZ announces rate decision

Friday, January 13th, 2012

Following ANZ’s first out of cycle interest rate pricing assessment, the bank has left its standard variable rate for retail mortgages and small business lending unchanged, at 7.3 per cent.

ANZ  last month said the bank would announce any changes to these rates on the second Friday of each month, rather than in response to the Reserve Bank monthly announcement.

ANZ says the Bank funding costs are now largely unrelated to movements in the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate.

ANZ  are intending on reviewing key variable lending rates each month. Anz say it allows them to more accurately reflect the sustained changes in funding costs they incur through the interest they pay to customers for their deposits and to investors in wholesale money markets.

To me this just seems like a publicity stunt as I cannot see them moving rates up against the other majors. If they were to do this I would suggest their customers would refinance to a better deal.

First major moves on rates

Thursday, December 8th, 2011

Two days after the RBA Board made its announcement the first full 25 basis point rate cut has been delivered by one of the big four banks.

ANZ has made the decisive move, handing borrowers the full quarter percent. After a tense stand-off between the biggest banks ANZ has sent a strong message to the marketplace and piled pressure on its competitors to follow suit.

I believe given the economic conditions facing consumers, all majors should look at passing on the full rate cut.

Fixed Rate Price War Continues

Wednesday, October 5th, 2011

Over the last two months, almost all of Australia’s lenders have slashed the interest on their fixed rate products, with CBA, ANZ, Westpac and NAB carving up to 20 basis points off their respective fixed rates. Variable rates have also seen heavy discounting. Good news for consumers.

Fixed interest rate demand falls

Monday, March 7th, 2011

A spate of attractive variable rate promotions from Australia’s largest lenders has resulted in reduced appetite for fixed rate mortgages.

Demand for fixed rate products fell last month  the first fall since July 2010. The appetite for fixed interest rates is now at its lowest since October 2010.

Last month’s fall in demand coincides with the start of the lender war for home loan volume growth.

It appears new borrowers are lapping up the newly introduced deals on offer in February, taking advantage of lenders various incentives as they compete to outstrip each other of market share.

I think this will continue as the fixed interest rates are no longer that attractive with such a large gap between the variable and fixed rates.